Real threat or another fear-based distraction?


🧨 Why this issue is trending again

The crypto world has reignited its obsession with quantum computing panic — and here’s why:

  1. BlackRock, for the first time, included language in its updated BTC-ETF filing warning that “advanced quantum computing could compromise the cryptographic integrity of blockchain.”
  2. A Google research paper revealed that breaking RSA encryption may now require 20x fewer quantum resources — around 1 million qubits instead of 20 million.
    Current max capacity? Roughly 1,000 physical qubits.

Predictably, FUD headlines followed: “Quantum will destroy Bitcoin. Sell now!”

Let’s break this down — without the panic.


🔍 What’s actually going on?

Quantum computers theoretically pose a threat to traditional cryptography used in:

  • 🔒 RSA (used for HTTPS, email, digital signatures)
  • 🔏 ECDSA (used in Bitcoin and most blockchains)
  • 🔐 SHA-256 (used for hashing in Bitcoin mining)

But real-world execution is another story.


🧮 Logical vs. Physical Qubits

What the media talks about: physical qubits
What actually matters: logical qubits (error-resistant, corrected, stable)

✅ You need about 1,000 to 10,000 physical qubits to create 1 logical qubit

To crack Bitcoin’s encryption via quantum, you’d need:
1M logical qubits = 1–10 billion physical qubits

📉 Current progress: ~1,000 physical qubits globally
🕑 Timeframe: Decades — not months, not years.


⏳ When is this actually a threat?

Experts agree:

  • Quantum cracking Bitcoin is not likely before 2040
  • We would need a technological leap similar to the invention of the internet
  • Meanwhile, many blockchains are already researching or integrating post-quantum cryptography like Dilithium, XMSS, LMS, SPHINCS+

🛡️ How Bitcoin can protect itself

  1. Protocol Upgrades
    Bitcoin has already upgraded once (SegWit). A quantum-secure fork is technically possible and already being discussed.
  2. 2nd Layer Security
    Lightning Network and Taproot reduce exposure by masking public key data.
  3. Industry Preparedness
    Financial institutions, the military, and even Google are already adopting post-quantum signatures.

🧠 What this means for investors

Let’s be real:

✅ Yes — quantum computing could one day break today’s encryption
✅ No — it won’t happen tomorrow
✅ Yes — Bitcoin can adapt if/when needed
✅ No — this is not a reason to panic sell

The bigger threat is not quantum.
It’s fear-based inaction and reacting to headlines instead of signals.


📩 How to invest with clarity, not fear

Want to build a future-proof strategy?

✅ I’ll help you structure a portfolio that accounts for long-term crypto evolution
✅ Identify projects already preparing for post-quantum reality
✅ Filter out FUD — and capitalize on real opportunity

📥 Message me — and I’ll show you how to position where the capital will go, not where the fear is.

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